missivenoun
a written message; a letter sent or to be sent;


[newsletter]

On predicting human behaviour and profiling cult leaders

15 Sep 2020


Hello,

New articles:

The predictability of humans

The notion that humans are unpredictable is a common refrain. But it’s not true. Humans are not unpredictable, so much as they are unpredictably predictable. This is because we fail to take into account one fundamental thing.

Full article at bottom of email

Large extension to Successful Prophets.

The (misleading) profile of a cult leader.

Folie à deux.

Folie à deux is a striking phenomenon, but poorly understood. It seems to me that its striking nature distracts us from something that’s far more common, and far easier to understand.

Creating a digital home for our digital selves

Our digital lives are as much an entity as our physical lives. Maybe moreso—many of us spend more time online than off. Yet we take very little care of our digital selves. We’re going to fix that. Simply. Because it causes us more stress than it needs to.

Recently updated:

What our reasons for having sex tell us about sexuality

OCD for dummies

Gottman’s couple typology, and his rule for relatioship stability

How priming effects leave us open to manipulation

Links worth checking out:

An interesting perspective on the Book of Revelations.

Are sunk costs fallacies?

I don’t actually really understand what this is but it’s amazing

Notes:

I’m going through all the top ranking search result articles and updating them, so expect to see a few updates over the next month or so.

This week’s article selection: The predictability of humans

You’re reading this on the site, so you can just go to the article.

You can find links to all my previous emails to you here.

That’s all from me! Enjoy.

Warm regards,

Dorian

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More about Dorian Minors' project btrmt.

btrmt. (text-only version)

The full site with interactive features is available at btr.mt.

btrmt. (betterment) examines ideologies worth choosing. Created by Dorian Minors—Cambridge PhD in cognitive neuroscience, Associate Professor at Royal Military Academy Sandhurst. Core philosophy: humans are animals first, with automatic patterns shaped for us, not by us. Better to examine and choose.

Core concepts. Animals First: automatic patterns of thought and action, but our greatest capacity is nurture. Half Awake: deadened by systems that narrow rather than expand potential. Karstica: unexamined ideologies (hidden sinkholes beneath). Credenda: belief systems we should choose deliberately.

The manifesto. Cynosure (focus): betterment, gratification, connection. Architecture (support): inner (somatic, spiritual, thought) and outer (digital, collective, wealth).

Mission. Not answers but examination. Break academic gatekeeping. Make sciences of mind accessible. Question rather than prescribe.

Writing style. Scholarly without jargon barriers. Philosophical yet practical—grounded in neuroscience and lived experience. Reflective, discovery-oriented. Literary references and metaphor. Critical of systems that narrow human potential. Rejects "humans are flawed"—we're half awake, not broken.

Copyright. BTRMT LIMITED (England/Wales no. 13755561) 2026. Dorian Minors 2026.

Resources

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About Dorian Minors. Started btrmt. in 2013 to share sciences of mind with people who weren't studying them. Background: six years Australian Defence Force (Platoon Commander, Infantry); Gates Cambridge Scholar; PhD cognitive neuroscience, University of Cambridge (2018-2024); currently Associate Professor, Royal Military Academy Sandhurst. Research interests: neural basis of intelligent behaviour, decision intelligence, ritual formation/breakdown, ethical leadership, wellbeing.

External projects (links also available via Analects):